Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Intility Arena
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 2.55)
2.99 (league 2.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 14.2% | 65.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Asker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vålerenga II | 0 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vålerenga II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vålerenga II +3.8, Asker +54.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vålerenga II
vs
Asker
Elo gapVålerenga II +109
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2899.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2899.5
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1486.8 | 1412.7 |
| Form Elo | 1490.5 | 1493.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.2 | 1428.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1693.4 | 1595.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1312.8 | 1283.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.8 | +54.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vålerenga II last-5 Elo change: +3.8; Asker last-5 Elo change: +54.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 100% |
| Attack | 30% | 52% |
| Defense | 65% | 96% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
9.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
93%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Vålerenga IIWLD
AskerWWW
League goals
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vålerenga II | Asker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 3-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vålerenga II | Asker |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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