Druha Liga
— Ukraine
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44)
0.99 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 28.5% | 29.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chayka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 0 | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Lokomotiv Kyiv carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lokomotiv Kyiv -2.4, Chayka +28.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
Chayka
Elo gapLokomotiv Kyiv +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3172.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3172.6
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1609.9 | 1562.7 |
| Form Elo | 1611.3 | 1592.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.2 | 1544.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1581.2 | 1611.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1625.8 | 1518.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.4 | +28.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Lokomotiv Kyiv last-5 Elo change: -2.4; Chayka last-5 Elo change: +28.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 42% | 92% |
| Defense | 75% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 73% | 70% | 46% | 75% | 60% |
| Draws | 8% | 18% | 13% | 31% | 8% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
Lokomotiv KyivWDLLWWWWWDWWWWWWLWLWDWW
ChaykaDDLWLWWLWWWLLWDWDWWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 39% | 96% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 17% | 48% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 4% | 36% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Chayka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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