Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.58)
1.65 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 24.3% | 57.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Unirea Dej | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpia Satu Mare | 0 | 8.7% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Olimpia Satu Mare carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olimpia Satu Mare -39.7, Unirea Dej -13.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Olimpia Satu Mare
vs
Unirea Dej
Elo gapOlimpia Satu Mare +30
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2948.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2948.7
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1471.9 | 1476.8 |
| Form Elo | 1443.2 | 1469 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.9 | 1486.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1493.9 | 1482.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1422.9 | 1475.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -39.7 | -13.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Olimpia Satu Mare last-5 Elo change: -39.7; Unirea Dej last-5 Elo change: -13.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 77% | 72% | 67% | 58% | 63% |
Olimpia Satu MareLLLLWLDLDWLLLLLWLLLWWLLLL
Unirea DejLLDWLLLDLLLWLWWLLLWDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 28 | 44 | 72 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 84% | 50% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 76% | 33% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 48% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 36% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 28% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 7-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olimpia Satu Mare | Unirea Dej |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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