Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.09)
4.65 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 1.1% | 66.5% |
best score tips
0 - 4
17.7%
0 - 5
16.5%
0 - 3
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| P-Iirot | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HJS Akatemia | 0 | 0.9% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
HJS Akatemia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HJS Akatemia 0.0, P-Iirot +12.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
HJS Akatemia
vs
P-Iirot
Elo gapHJS Akatemia +81
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3035.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3035.4
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1540.5 | 1494.9 |
| Form Elo | 1540.5 | 1551.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1496.1 | 1518.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1650 | 1591.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1530.6 | 1427.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | 0.0 | +12.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. HJS Akatemia last-5 Elo change: 0.0; P-Iirot last-5 Elo change: +12.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 22% | 22% |
| Defense | 89% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
8.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | 100% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
HJS AkatemiaW
P-IirotW
League goals
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | P-Iirot |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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