Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Campo Pian Scairolo
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.89)
1.90 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.5% | 17.5% | 24.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.4%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lausanne Sport II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradiso | 0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Paradiso carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Paradiso +12.5, Lausanne Sport II -58.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Paradiso
vs
Lausanne Sport II
Elo gapParadiso +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2867.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2867.1
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1450.5 | 1416.6 |
| Form Elo | 1444.3 | 1383.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.1 | 1452 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.4 | 1679.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1414.2 | 1288.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.5 | -58.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Paradiso last-5 Elo change: +12.5; Lausanne Sport II last-5 Elo change: -58.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 0% |
| Attack | 20% | 30% |
| Defense | 80% | 5% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 19 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 14% | 18% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Draws | 36% | 36% | 36% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Loses | 43% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 79% | 64% |
ParadisoLWDDLWLLDDLLDLLWWLDLLLDDWDDL
Lausanne Sport IIWWLWLLLWLDLWLLLWLDLLLWWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 15 | 42 | 31 | 20 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 30 | 29 | 59 | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 79% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 61% | 43% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 32% | 29% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 18% | 18% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 2-6 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paradiso | Lausanne Sport II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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