Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Štadión Lokomotívy v Čermeli
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.93)
3.35 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8% | 7.5% | 77.3% |
best score tips
0 - 3
13.2%
0 - 2
11.8%
0 - 4
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Humenné | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotíva Košice | 0 | 2.1% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Humenné carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 161 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lokomotíva Košice +25.5, Humenné +36.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Lokomotíva Košice
vs
Humenné
Elo gapHumenné +161
Home / draw / away23% / 18% / 59%
Expected home share28%
Combined Elo3105.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3105.3
Elo home share
28%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1454.6 | 1650.7 |
| Form Elo | 1465 | 1681.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1486.9 | 1554.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1487 | 1719.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1338.5 | 1576.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.5 | +36.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Lokomotíva Košice last-5 Elo change: +25.5; Humenné last-5 Elo change: +36.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 87% |
| Attack | 42% | 79% |
| Defense | 79% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Loses | 30% | 60% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lokomotíva KošiceLLWLLLWLDDLLLWDWDDWW
HumennéWWWDWWWWWWDWWDWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 23 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 32 | 50 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 55% | 85% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 40% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 15% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lokomotíva Košice | Humenné |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 38.4% | 61.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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