Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Gradski Stadion
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.74)
0.64 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Famos Vojkovići | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kozara Gradiška | 0 | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Kozara Gradiška carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 48 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kozara Gradiška +27.3, Famos Vojkovići -0.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Kozara Gradiška
vs
Famos Vojkovići
Elo gapKozara Gradiška +48
Home / draw / away43% / 25% / 32%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2989.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2989.9
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1501.2 | 1488.7 |
| Form Elo | 1508.9 | 1488.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1525.5 | 1447.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1456.4 | 1437.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1502.3 | 1441.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +27.3 | -0.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Kozara Gradiška last-5 Elo change: +27.3; Famos Vojkovići last-5 Elo change: -0.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 79% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 23% | 38% | 50% | 9% | 30% |
| Draws | 27% | 23% | 25% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 54% | 38% | 17% | 73% | 43% |
Kozara GradiškaDDDLWLWLLDWWWLWLLDLWWWLD
Famos VojkovićiLLLWLLWLDWDLWDDLDWWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 10 | 29 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 63% | 52% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 29% | 26% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 17% | 9% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 9% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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