Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 • Stade Chedly Zouiten
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.12) 0.65 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 25.9% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
13.2%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
AS Soliman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 11.5% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 114 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane +7.3, AS Soliman -0.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Elo 1490.8 · +7.3
vs
AS Soliman Elo 1412.1 · -0.1
Elo gapJeunesse Sportive Omrane +114
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2902.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2902.9
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
Overall Elo1490.81412.1
Form Elo1504.31402.4
Home / Away Elo1526.61446
Attack Elo1408.61345.4
Defense Elo1504.11504.9
Last 5 Elo change+7.3-0.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane last-5 Elo change: +7.3; AS Soliman last-5 Elo change: -0.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack31%15%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%8%36%15%8%12%
Draws17%23%20%38%25%32%
Loses17%69%44%46%67%56%
Jeunesse Sportive OmraneWLWLDLDWLWDDLLLLWLWWLWWDL
AS SolimanLLDLWLLWDLDDLDLDDLLLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
HATHAT
GF total154194711
GF avg1.30.30.80.30.60.4
GA total91726121527
GA avg0.81.31.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%64%32%76%
1.528%24%8%28%
2.54%12%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
HATHAT
Clean sheets549606
Failed to score410149817

Penalties

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Wins21
Draws22
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-32-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total57.2%42.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away4.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.57 @ Betano
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League standings

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