Premijer Liga
— Bosnia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:30 •
Stadion Pecara
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33)
1.45 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 26.8% | 57.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Zrinjski | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siroki Brijeg | 0 | 12.9% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Zrinjski carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 148 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Siroki Brijeg -47.9, Zrinjski +10.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Siroki Brijeg
vs
Zrinjski
Elo gapZrinjski +148
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share30%
Combined Elo3140.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3140.4
Elo home share
30%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1478.6 | 1661.8 |
| Form Elo | 1462.8 | 1660 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508.8 | 1584.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.9 | 1692.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1475.4 | 1687.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -47.9 | +10.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Siroki Brijeg last-5 Elo change: -47.9; Zrinjski last-5 Elo change: +10.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 8% | 58% |
| Defense | 25% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 47% | 13% | 30% | 53% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 47% | 33% | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 37% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
Siroki BrijegDWLDWLWWDDWLLDLDDLDWWDWLWDLLLL
ZrinjskiDLWWWWDWDWWWWWLWDLWWLDWWLWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 25 | 40 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 67% | 77% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 33% | 40% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 20% | 13% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siroki Brijeg | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 23.5% | 76.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away1.82 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.76 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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