Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Pappelstadion
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.72)
0.70 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Deutschkreutz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mattersburg 2020 | 0 | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Mattersburg 2020 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 129 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Mattersburg 2020 +11.2, Deutschkreutz +47.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Mattersburg 2020
vs
Deutschkreutz
Elo gapMattersburg 2020 +129
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3183
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3183
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1638.7 | 1544.3 |
| Form Elo | 1664 | 1561.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1549.4 | 1520.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1725.7 | 1569.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1565.3 | 1510.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.2 | +47.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Mattersburg 2020 last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Deutschkreutz last-5 Elo change: +47.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 100% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 58% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 82% | 64% | 73% | 33% | 55% | 43% |
| Draws | 18% | 36% | 27% | 25% | 9% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
Mattersburg 2020WWDWWDWWWWWWWWWDDWWDDW
DeutschkreutzWWLDDLDWLLWLLLLLDWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 31 | 57 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 68% | 87% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 14% | 52% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 0% | 17% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 4% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 3-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mattersburg 2020 | Deutschkreutz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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