Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.58)
0.55 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4% | 42.4% | 26.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Podvinci | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rače | 0 | 30.9% | 16.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Rače carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Rače +8.8, Podvinci +3.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Rače
vs
Podvinci
Elo gapRače +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2941.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2941.4
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1471.2 | 1470.2 |
| Form Elo | 1466.5 | 1468.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1500.5 | 1493.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1458.1 | 1411.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1404 | 1520.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.8 | +3.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Rače last-5 Elo change: +8.8; Podvinci last-5 Elo change: +3.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 73% | 27% |
| Defense | 36% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 60% | 30% | 45% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Loses | 10% | 50% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
RačeLDDWDWLDWLDDDLLWDWDL
PodvinciDWWWLWWLLWLDDDDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 18 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rače | Podvinci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 65% | 75% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rače | Podvinci |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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