Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Girnyk
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.22)
2.20 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 20.0% | 40.9% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Dynamo Kyiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kryvbas KR | 0 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Dynamo Kyiv carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 90 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kryvbas KR +8.0, Dynamo Kyiv -8.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kryvbas KR
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Elo gapDynamo Kyiv +90
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo3234
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3234
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1554.6 | 1679.4 |
| Form Elo | 1567.5 | 1691 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.4 | 1561.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1532.5 | 1816.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1520.3 | 1680.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.0 | -8.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kryvbas KR last-5 Elo change: +8.0; Dynamo Kyiv last-5 Elo change: -8.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 30% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 33% | 46% | 58% | 50% | 54% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Kryvbas KRLWWWLWDWWLDLDDWDDWDLWLWW
Dynamo KyivWWWWDDDDDWLLLLWWWWWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 25 | 27 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 38% | 58% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 38% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 4-5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 13% | 87% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.53 @ 1xBet
Away1.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
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League standings
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