Düren Merzenich vs Porz

Oberliga - Mittelrhein — Germany

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Westkampfbahn

Not Started

home	draw	away
30.3%	17.8%	42.9%

		Porz
Düren Merzenich	0	0.6%	1.8%	2.4%	2.2%	1.5%	0.8%
1	1.5%	4.0%	5.6%	5.1%	3.5%	1.9%
2	1.7%	4.6%	6.4%	5.9%	4.1%	2.2%
3	1.3%	3.6%	4.9%	4.5%	3.1%	1.7%
4	0.7%	2.0%	2.8%	2.6%	1.8%	1.0%
5	0.3%	0.9%	1.3%	1.2%	0.8%	0.5%

Home edge

Düren Merzenich carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 58 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Düren Merzenich -20.5, Porz -28.6.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Düren Merzenich Elo 1443.8 · -20.5

Porz Elo 1421.3 · -28.6

Elo gapDüren Merzenich +58

Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%

Expected home share58%

Combined Elo2865.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2865.1

Elo home share 58%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Overall Elo	1443.8	1421.3
Form Elo	1430.2	1405.5
Home / Away Elo	1471.6	1493.5
Attack Elo	1420.9	1558.4
Defense Elo	1332.3	1300.2
Last 5 Elo change	-20.5	-28.6

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Düren Merzenich last-5 Elo change: -20.5; Porz last-5 Elo change: -28.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Played	5	5
Form	7%	7%
Attack	8%	25%
Defense	58%	21%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	19 \| 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

84%

FT probability

3.5+

60%

FT probability

BTTS

81%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Düren Merzenich			Porz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	12	11	23
Wins	45%	25%	35%	25%	27%	26%
Draws	27%	17%	22%	8%	18%	13%
Loses	27%	58%	43%	67%	55%	61%

Düren MerzenichLWLWLWDDWWDWLLWDWLLLLDL

PorzDWLWLLWDLWLLLLLWWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric	Düren Merzenich			Porz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	19	13	32	20	26	46
GF avg	1.7	1.1	1.4	1.7	2.4	2.0
GA total	21	23	44	35	29	64
GA avg	1.9	1.9	1.9	2.9	2.6	2.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Düren Merzenich		Porz
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	65%	78%	87%	96%
1.5	48%	57%	57%	83%
2.5	17%	30%	35%	57%
3.5	9%	17%	13%	26%
4.5	0%	4%	4%	17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Düren Merzenich			Porz
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	0	1	1
Failed to score	4	4	8	2	1	3

Penalties

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-2	0-2	4-2	1-6
Biggest losses	0-6	4-0	0-5	5-1
Goals For	4	3	4	6
Goals Against	6	4	5	5

Model comparison

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Form	50%	50%
Att	25%	75%
Def	66%	34%
Poisson Distribution	46%	54%
H2h	80%	20%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	54.0%	46.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Düren Merzenich vs Porz

Metric	Düren Merzenich	Porz
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Düren Merzenich vs Porz