Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.60)
1.93 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 21.0% | 63.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lochin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gazalkent | 0 | 6.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Gazalkent carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 52 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gazalkent +1.4, Lochin -4.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Gazalkent
vs
Lochin
Elo gapGazalkent +52
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2985.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2985.5
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1501.4 | 1484.1 |
| Form Elo | 1498.4 | 1469.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.2 | 1500.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1515.2 | 1471.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1497.7 | 1478.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.4 | -4.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Gazalkent last-5 Elo change: +1.4; Lochin last-5 Elo change: -4.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
GazalkentWDLD
LochinWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gazalkent | Lochin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gazalkent | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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