Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
EMMA & EUGEN Arena
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 1.94)
1.24 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.2%
4 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nenzing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dornbirner SV | 0 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Dornbirner SV carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 123 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dornbirner SV +2.7, Nenzing +5.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Dornbirner SV
vs
Nenzing
Elo gapDornbirner SV +123
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3003.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3003.6
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1545.8 | 1457.8 |
| Form Elo | 1557.3 | 1456.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1515.6 | 1496.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1551.5 | 1512.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1508.6 | 1393.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.7 | +5.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dornbirner SV last-5 Elo change: +2.7; Nenzing last-5 Elo change: +5.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 53% |
| Defense | 40% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 57% | 38% | 47% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Draws | 14% | 50% | 33% | 13% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 13% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 41% |
Dornbirner SVWDWLWWDDDLDWWWL
NenzingWDWWLLLWLLDDWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 8 | 19 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 25 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 73% | 59% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 20% | 53% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 7% | 35% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 6% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dornbirner SV | Nenzing |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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