1. Division
— Norway
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71)
2.49 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.0% | 17.7% | 62.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moss | 0 | 2.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Moss +18.2, Lyn -11.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Moss
vs
Lyn
Elo gapMoss +1
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2935.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2935.6
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Moss | Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1450.7 | 1484.9 |
| Form Elo | 1471.5 | 1469.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1525.2 | 1537.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1541 | 1551.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1381.9 | 1501.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.2 | -11.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Moss last-5 Elo change: +18.2; Lyn last-5 Elo change: -11.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moss | Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 26% | 26% |
| Defense | 79% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moss | Lyn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
MossWWL
LynLWL
League goals
| Metric | Moss | Lyn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moss | Lyn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moss | Lyn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moss | Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moss | Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-3 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moss | Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.4% | 46.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…