Super Liga
— Slovakia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:00 •
City Arena Trnava
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.51)
1.54 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 25.0% | 43.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Slovan Bratislava | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Trnava | 0 | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Trnava +22.2, Slovan Bratislava +19.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Spartak Trnava
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Elo gapSlovan Bratislava +8
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3283.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3283.7
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1620.4 | 1663.3 |
| Form Elo | 1625.6 | 1682.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1554.9 | 1581.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1696.5 | 1769.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1576.8 | 1631.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.2 | +19.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Spartak Trnava last-5 Elo change: +22.2; Slovan Bratislava last-5 Elo change: +19.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 73% | 53% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 43% | 54% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Draws | 7% | 29% | 18% | 7% | 29% | 18% |
| Loses | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
Spartak TrnavaWWWWLWLDLDWWLWWWLWDDLLWLWDWW
Slovan BratislavaDWWDWDWWWLWWWWWLLWWLDWWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 23 | 47 | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 64% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 29% | 68% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 46% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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