Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Bellavista
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.30)
0.36 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 34.0% | 12.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Libertad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Macara | 0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Macara | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 23% |
| Defense | 31% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Macara | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
MacaraDWDDWDLLWL
LibertadWDWLDDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Macara | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Macara | Libertad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Macara | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Macara | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Macara | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Macara | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Betano
No1.75 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…