Minnesota United II vs North Texas

MLS Next Pro — USA

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 20:00 • Allianz Field

Not Started

home	draw	away
28.4%	21.3%	47.9%

		North Texas
Minnesota United II	0	2.8%	5.7%	5.8%	4.0%	2.1%	0.8%
1	4.2%	8.7%	8.9%	6.1%	3.1%	1.3%
2	3.2%	6.7%	6.9%	4.7%	2.4%	1.0%
3	1.7%	3.4%	3.5%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.3%	1.4%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
5	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Home edge

Minnesota United II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 84 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Minnesota United II -9.3, North Texas -11.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Minnesota United II Elo 1540.6 · -9.3

North Texas Elo 1491.5 · -11.7

Elo gapMinnesota United II +84

Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%

Expected home share62%

Combined Elo3032.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3032.1

Elo home share 62%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Overall Elo	1540.6	1491.5
Form Elo	1545	1491.9
Home / Away Elo	1507.6	1517.9
Attack Elo	1531.9	1530.6
Defense Elo	1527	1406.2
Last 5 Elo change	-9.3	-11.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Minnesota United II last-5 Elo change: -9.3; North Texas last-5 Elo change: -11.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Played	5	5
Form	40%	60%
Attack	24%	59%
Defense	59%	53%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Minnesota United II			North Texas
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	0	6	6	2	5	7
Wins	—	50%	50%	100%	40%	57%
Draws	—	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	—	50%	50%	0%	60%	43%

Minnesota United IIWLLWLW

North TexasLWLLWWW

League goals

Metric	Minnesota United II			North Texas
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	0	8	8	6	9	15
GF avg	0.0	1.3	1.3	3.0	1.8	2.1
GA total	0	9	9	3	9	12
GA avg	0.0	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.8	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Minnesota United II		North Texas
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	83%	71%	100%
1.5	33%	50%	71%	57%
2.5	17%	17%	57%	14%
3.5	17%	0%	14%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Minnesota United II			North Texas
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	2	2	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Wins	1	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	2-4	3-1	1-4
Biggest losses	—	3-0	—	2-0
Goals For	0	4	3	4
Goals Against	0	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Form	40%	60%
Att	29%	71%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	18%	82%
Total	35.0%	65.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Minnesota United II vs North Texas

Metric	Minnesota United II	North Texas
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Minnesota United II vs North Texas