Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 23:30 •
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 2.03)
0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 32.4% | 30.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Potosí | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oriente Petrolero | 0 | 16.0% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Real Potosí carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 79 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Oriente Petrolero -4.2, Real Potosí +3.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Oriente Petrolero
vs
Real Potosí
Elo gapReal Potosí +79
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo3022.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3022.2
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1454 | 1568.2 |
| Form Elo | 1435.1 | 1579.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1519.3 | 1502.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1518 | 1538.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1368.8 | 1605.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.2 | +3.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Oriente Petrolero last-5 Elo change: -4.2; Real Potosí last-5 Elo change: +3.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 56% |
| Attack | 18% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Oriente PetroleroLWL
Real PotosíDDW
League goals
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.36 @ William Hill
Draw4.80 @ Dafabet
Away8.25 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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