Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.49)
0.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.2% | 43.0% | 41.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.9%
0 - 1
25.3%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bengaluru United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sudeva | 0 | 32.6% | 25.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sudeva -14.0, Bengaluru United +22.1.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Sudeva
vs
Bengaluru United
Elo gapBengaluru United +4
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3011.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3011.1
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1486 | 1525.1 |
| Form Elo | 1473.6 | 1562.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.2 | 1508.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1481.8 | 1544.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1505.7 | 1535.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.0 | +22.1 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sudeva last-5 Elo change: -14.0; Bengaluru United last-5 Elo change: +22.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 15% | 31% |
| Defense | 77% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
SudevaDLLW
Bengaluru UnitedDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sudeva | Bengaluru United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sudeva | Bengaluru United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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