National 3 - Group G — France
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:30 • Stade de Brouhot
Not Started

Vierzon FC

—

Dijon II

Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.62) 2.45 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.3% 19.2% 47.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 3
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dijon II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vierzon FC 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.0% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
1 2.5% 6.1% 7.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.3% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1%
4 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Vierzon FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 46 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vierzon FC -1.3, Dijon II +46.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Vierzon FC Elo 1513.3 · -1.3
vs
Dijon II Elo 1502.7 · +46.7
Elo gapVierzon FC +46
Home / draw / away43% / 25% / 32%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo3016
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3016
Elo home share 57%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Vierzon FC Dijon II
Overall Elo1513.31502.7
Form Elo1523.31519.5
Home / Away Elo1517.51489.2
Attack Elo1584.51518.1
Defense Elo1368.61498
Last 5 Elo change-1.3+46.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Vierzon FC last-5 Elo change: -1.3; Dijon II last-5 Elo change: +46.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVierzon FCDijon II
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vierzon FC Dijon II
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%25%39%50%27%39%
Draws18%25%22%33%36%35%
Loses27%50%39%17%36%26%
Vierzon FCWLWLLLWWLLWLWDLWWDDWDLD
Dijon IIWWWDLDWLDDDWLWLLLDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Vierzon FC Dijon II
HATHAT
GF total221436191938
GF avg2.01.21.61.61.71.7
GA total192544141731
GA avg1.72.11.91.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVierzon FCDijon II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%74%78%87%
1.543%52%48%39%
2.526%30%30%9%
3.513%13%9%0%
4.54%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVierzon FCDijon II
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricVierzon FCDijon II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVierzon FCDijon II
Wins23
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-43-01-4
Biggest losses2-76-00-32-1
Goals For5434
Goals Against7633

Model comparison

MetricVierzon FCDijon II
Form35%65%
Att42%58%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total38.6%61.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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