Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:00 •
Stadion MOSiR
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.62)
0.46 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | 31.7% | 14.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Katowice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 0 | 19.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 53% | 33% |
| Defense | 87% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 42% | 64% | 54% | 36% | 62% | 48% |
| Draws | 50% | 21% | 35% | 43% | 8% | 26% |
| Loses | 8% | 14% | 12% | 21% | 31% | 26% |
Lechia Zielona GóraDWWWWDWLWDDWWDWWWDWDLDWDLW
Sparta KatowiceDWDWWWDWWLDWWWWDWLLDWDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 34 | 59 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 46% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 12% | 48% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-7 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lechia Zielona Góra | Sparta Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.4% | 32.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.53 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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