Expected Goals
5.28 (league 1.75)
2.06 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
best score tips
5 - 2
4.7%
5 - 1
4.6%
4 - 2
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Cianorte U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galo Maringá U20 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Galo Maringá U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Galo Maringá U20 +12.1, Cianorte U20 +2.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Galo Maringá U20
vs
Cianorte U20
Elo gapGalo Maringá U20 +68
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2975.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2975.1
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1503.9 | 1471.2 |
| Form Elo | 1509.2 | 1457.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.4 | 1487.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1525.4 | 1477.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1488.2 | 1470.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.1 | +2.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Galo Maringá U20 last-5 Elo change: +12.1; Cianorte U20 last-5 Elo change: +2.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 71% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 38% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Galo Maringá U20LWLDDWLW
Cianorte U20LLLWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 88% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Galo Maringá U20 | Cianorte U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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