Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
5.28 (league 1.75) 2.06 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 7.3% 6.7%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.7%
5 - 1
4.6%
4 - 2
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cianorte U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galo Maringá U20 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
4 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Galo Maringá U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Galo Maringá U20 +12.1, Cianorte U20 +2.8.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Galo Maringá U20 Elo 1503.9 · +12.1
vs
Cianorte U20 Elo 1471.2 · +2.8
Elo gapGalo Maringá U20 +68
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2975.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2975.1
Elo home share 60%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Galo Maringá U20 Cianorte U20
Overall Elo1503.91471.2
Form Elo1509.21457.1
Home / Away Elo1512.41487.2
Attack Elo1525.41477.8
Defense Elo1488.21470.5
Last 5 Elo change+12.1+2.8

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Galo Maringá U20 last-5 Elo change: +12.1; Cianorte U20 last-5 Elo change: +2.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack71%36%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galo Maringá U20 Cianorte U20
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%20%38%25%25%25%
Draws33%20%25%25%0%13%
Loses0%60%38%50%75%63%
Galo Maringá U20LWLDDWLW
Cianorte U20LLLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Galo Maringá U20 Cianorte U20
HATHAT
GF total11314448
GF avg3.70.61.81.01.01.0
GA total761351015
GA avg2.31.21.61.32.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%75%75%
1.550%50%25%63%
2.538%13%0%38%
3.525%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
Wins12
Draws20
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-21-00-1
Biggest losses2-01-23-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricGalo Maringá U20Cianorte U20
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.0%41.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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