Toppserien
— Norway
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 16:00 •
Brann Stadion
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.76)
1.44 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.3% | 26.9% | 50.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Haugesund W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brann W | 0 | 10.1% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Brann W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 146 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brann W +18.5, Haugesund W +9.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Brann W
vs
Haugesund W
Elo gapBrann W +146
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3314.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3314.7
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1712.7 | 1602 |
| Form Elo | 1731.7 | 1617.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1585.4 | 1542.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1937.1 | 1703.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1692.4 | 1521.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.5 | +9.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Brann W last-5 Elo change: +18.5; Haugesund W last-5 Elo change: +9.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 58% |
| Attack | 60% | 45% |
| Defense | 90% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 3 | 9 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Brann WWDWW
Haugesund WDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brann W | Haugesund W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 75% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brann W | Haugesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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