Superettan — Sweden
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 17:00 • Norrkopings Idrottspark
Not Started

IFK Norrkoping

—

Landskrona BoIS

Expected Goals
3.69 (league 1.63) 0.39 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 5.2% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.1%
4 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Landskrona BoIS
0 1 2 3 4 5
IFK Norrkoping 0 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.0% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

IFK Norrkoping carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: IFK Norrkoping +12.1, Landskrona BoIS -2.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
IFK Norrkoping Elo 1557.2 · +12.1
vs
Landskrona BoIS Elo 1476.3 · -2.4
Elo gapIFK Norrkoping +116
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3033.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3033.5
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric IFK Norrkoping Landskrona BoIS
Overall Elo1557.21476.3
Form Elo1568.51481.2
Home / Away Elo1530.11445.1
Attack Elo16291506.6
Defense Elo14851412
Last 5 Elo change+12.1-2.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. IFK Norrkoping last-5 Elo change: +12.1; Landskrona BoIS last-5 Elo change: -2.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
Played33
Form67%33%
Attack67%17%
Defense83%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric IFK Norrkoping Landskrona BoIS
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%50%100%67%
IFK NorrkopingWWL
Landskrona BoISLLW

League goals

Metric IFK Norrkoping Landskrona BoIS
HATHAT
GF total628202
GF avg6.01.02.71.00.00.7
GA total022213
GA avg0.01.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%67%
1.533%33%0%33%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
Wins20
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-11-0—
Biggest losses—2-11-21-0
Goals For6110
Goals Against0221

Model comparison

MetricIFK NorrkopingLandskrona BoIS
Form67%33%
Att80%20%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total69.0%31.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ 10Bet
Away5.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betano
No2.30 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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