Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.30)
3.61 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 11.2% | 63.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Crateús | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Uniclinic Atletico Clube | 0 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Crateús carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Uniclinic Atletico Clube -20.5, Crateús -25.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
vs
Crateús
Elo gapCrateús +60
Home / draw / away31% / 23% / 46%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2946.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2946.4
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1425.8 | 1520.6 |
| Form Elo | 1407.8 | 1509.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476.7 | 1505.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1409.4 | 1483.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.7 | 1571.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -20.5 | -25.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Uniclinic Atletico Clube last-5 Elo change: -20.5; Crateús last-5 Elo change: -25.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 43% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Uniclinic Atletico ClubeDLDDLL
CrateúsWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 40% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Uniclinic Atletico Clube | Crateús |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.4% | 68.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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