Mineiro U20 — Brazil
Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.90) 1.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 24.0% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Inter de Minas U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minas Boca U20 0 4.7% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.0% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Minas Boca U20 -9.9, Inter de Minas U20 -4.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Minas Boca U20 Elo 1490.1 · -9.9
vs
Inter de Minas U20 Elo 1510 · -4.5
Elo gapMinas Boca U20 +15
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3000.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3000.1
Elo home share 52%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Minas Boca U20 Inter de Minas U20
Overall Elo1490.11510
Form Elo1470.41506.9
Home / Away Elo1499.31491.4
Attack Elo1465.31485.8
Defense Elo1423.21463.1
Last 5 Elo change-9.9-4.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Minas Boca U20 last-5 Elo change: -9.9; Inter de Minas U20 last-5 Elo change: -4.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
Played43
Form17%44%
Attack5%10%
Defense35%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 3.36 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Minas Boca U20 Inter de Minas U20
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws50%50%50%50%0%33%
Loses50%50%50%0%100%33%
Minas Boca U20LDDL
Inter de Minas U20DLW

League goals

Metric Minas Boca U20 Inter de Minas U20
HATHAT
GF total101112
GF avg0.50.00.30.51.00.7
GA total31013066
GA avg1.55.03.30.06.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%50%67%33%
1.50%50%0%33%
2.50%50%0%33%
3.50%25%0%33%
4.50%25%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
Wins00
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses1-310-0—6-1
Goals For1011
Goals Against31006

Model comparison

MetricMinas Boca U20Inter de Minas U20
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total35.4%64.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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