Superettan
— Sweden
Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 •
NP3 Arena
Expected Goals
3.67 (league 1.63)
4.02 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 13.3% | 28.2% |
best score tips
3 - 4
4.1%
3 - 3
4.1%
4 - 4
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Oddevold | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| GIF Sundsvall | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Oddevold carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: GIF Sundsvall -19.1, Oddevold -23.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
GIF Sundsvall
vs
Oddevold
Elo gapOddevold +21
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3017.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3017.5
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1480.7 | 1536.8 |
| Form Elo | 1453.9 | 1504.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1471.5 | 1550.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1476 | 1601.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.7 | 1528 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.1 | -23.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. GIF Sundsvall last-5 Elo change: -19.1; Oddevold last-5 Elo change: -23.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
GIF SundsvallWLLL
OddevoldDWLL
League goals
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | — | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | GIF Sundsvall | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.30 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No2.02 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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