Serie B — Brazil
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 23:00 • Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.14) 0.79 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 32.4% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
16.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Novorizontino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amazonas 0 16.3% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.5% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmazonasNovorizontino
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack38%38%
Defense44%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amazonas Novorizontino
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%6%22%56%31%44%
Draws38%25%31%38%31%34%
Loses25%69%47%6%38%22%

Form: Amazonas: LDLLDLDDWLWLWDLLWDDDLDWLLLWLLDWL • Novorizontino: DWDDWLDWWWWWLDDWDWLDDLLLDWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Amazonas Novorizontino
HATHAT
GF total201333261036
GF avg1.30.81.01.60.61.1
GA total183048121527
GA avg1.11.91.50.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmazonasNovorizontino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%75%59%
1.528%44%25%19%
2.53%19%13%3%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmazonasNovorizontino
HATHAT
Clean sheets5056713
Failed to score369088

Penalties

MetricAmazonasNovorizontino
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAmazonasNovorizontino
Wins15
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-24-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricAmazonasNovorizontino
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Amazonas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amazonas = 1.02 (league 1.14), Novorizontino = 0.79 (league 0.83)

Novorizontino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amazonas 0 16.3% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.5% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 27.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1