Liga Pro — Ecuador
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio 9 de Mayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.36) 1.58 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 25.3% 53.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 8.5% 13.5% 10.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack22%67%
Defense78%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orense SC Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins60%25%42%53%69%61%
Draws27%25%26%40%25%32%
Loses13%50%32%7%6%6%

Form: Orense SC: LWLWLWDWLLDWWWLWDWWLDWLDLWDWDDL • Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Orense SC Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total221234263258
GF avg1.50.81.11.72.01.9
GA total122234111223
GA avg0.81.41.10.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%71%90%65%
1.529%26%58%10%
2.513%6%29%0%
3.53%6%10%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets4595611
Failed to score3912123

Penalties

MetricOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
Wins35
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-54-00-4
Biggest losses1-24-01-22-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricOrense SCIndependiente del Valle
Form35%65%
Att25%75%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orense SC = 0.88 (league 1.36), Independiente del Valle = 1.58 (league 1.01)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 8.5% 13.5% 10.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 53.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1