Wed, Sep 17 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Hernando Siles
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
5.10 (league 1.89) 1.77 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 6.9% 5.8%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.3%
4 - 1
5.2%
5 - 2
4.7%
Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
The Strongest 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
5 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack71%86%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric The Strongest Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins100%50%74%33%30%32%
Draws0%10%5%44%20%32%
Loses0%40%21%22%50%37%

Form: The Strongest: LWWWDWWLWWWWLWWWWWL • Independiente Petrolero: WLDLDLWDLDDLDLWLWWW

League goals

Metric The Strongest Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
GF total331952151530
GF avg3.71.92.71.71.51.6
GA total131932122638
GA avg1.41.91.71.32.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%79%79%84%
1.584%47%42%53%
2.542%21%21%37%
3.521%5%11%21%
4.516%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Wins51
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-45-23-4
Biggest losses—7-22-45-0
Goals For6454
Goals Against3745

Model comparison

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total67.2%33.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : The Strongest or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Superbet
Draw6.40 @ Dafabet
Away10.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): The Strongest = 4.64 (league 1.89), Independiente Petrolero = 1.65 (league 1.19)

Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
The Strongest 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 6.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1