J1 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 05:00 • Panasonic Stadium Suita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.33) 1.64 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 23.6% 40.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 4.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins69%24%45%56%41%48%
Draws0%29%15%31%41%36%
Loses31%47%39%13%18%15%

Form: Gamba Osaka: LWLWWLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWWWWWD • Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWLDDDWDWDWWWWLDLWDWWLWLWWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
GF total281846232548
GF avg1.81.11.41.41.51.5
GA total192847151833
GA avg1.21.61.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%88%55%
1.542%39%39%24%
2.518%24%12%18%
3.59%6%6%3%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Clean sheets55108715
Failed to score4711224

Penalties

MetricGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Wins54
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-04-54-20-3
Biggest losses2-53-01-33-0
Goals For4544
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricGamba OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Form65%35%
Att68%32%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Gamba Osaka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gamba Osaka = 1.49 (league 1.33), Kashiwa Reysol = 1.64 (league 1.10)

Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 4.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 40.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1