Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:30 •
Marienlystcentret
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 2.18)
0.29 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.1% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.0%
3 - 0
16.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hedensted | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marienlyst | 0 | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.0% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 78% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 100% | 60% | 80% | 17% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Marienlyst: WWWWWWWDWD • Hedensted: LLLDDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marienlyst | Hedensted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 80% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 72% | 28% |
| Total | 76.2% | 23.8% |
Advice: Winner : Marienlyst
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marienlyst = 2.75 (league 2.18), Hedensted = 0.29 (league 1.77)
| Hedensted | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marienlyst | 0 | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.0% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.1% · Draw 9.5% · Away win 2.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1