Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio Nereo Rocco
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.29)
1.07 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 56% | 11% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 33% | 80% | 0% | 44% |
Form: Triestina: LDDWWLWDL • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Triestina | Pergolettese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 44% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 11% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Triestina | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Triestina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 1.12 (league 1.29), Pergolettese = 1.07 (league 0.97)
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 34.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1