Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.54) 0.44 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 35.1% 15.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 23.5% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneSS Monopoli
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack91%18%
Defense82%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone SS Monopoli
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%75%56%20%50%33%
Draws20%25%22%40%25%33%
Loses40%0%22%40%25%33%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWW • SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDL

League goals

Metric Crotone SS Monopoli
HATHAT
GF total61218538
GF avg1.23.02.01.00.80.9
GA total3476511
GA avg0.61.00.81.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneSS Monopoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%56%67%
1.567%22%33%33%
2.544%11%0%11%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneSS Monopoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets325123
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricCrotoneSS Monopoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCrotoneSS Monopoli
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-01-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-24-0
Goals For3422
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneSS Monopoli
Form71%29%
Att83%17%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h93%7%
Goals79%21%
Total77.5%22.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Crotone or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 1.01 (league 1.54), SS Monopoli = 0.44 (league 1.10)

SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 23.5% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 15.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1