Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 •
Stade Peace Park Progress
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.45)
1.52 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 23.8% | 36.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Farmers FC | 0 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 7% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 0% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 86% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
Form: Green Farmers FC: LLLDLLL • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 86% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | 0% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Green Farmers FC | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Green Farmers FC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Green Farmers FC = 1.59 (league 1.45), Le Messager Ngozi = 1.52 (league 1.21)
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Farmers FC | 0 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 36.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1