Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:15 •
Beirut Municipal Stadium
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.37)
0.41 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 33.4% | 13.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ansar | 0 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 22% |
| Attack | 37% | 5% |
| Defense | 84% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Al Ansar: LWW • Safa: DLD
League goals
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ansar | Safa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ansar | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ansar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Ansar = 1.09 (league 1.37), Safa = 0.41 (league 1.23)
| Safa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ansar | 0 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 13.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
