Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 32.8% 24.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 17.5% 12.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonMansfield Town
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack86%71%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins60%33%45%60%17%36%
Draws0%17%9%20%33%27%
Loses40%50%45%20%50%36%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDL • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWD

League goals

Metric Luton Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total591410616
GF avg1.01.51.32.01.01.5
GA total49135914
GA avg0.81.51.21.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%91%91%
1.536%45%36%36%
2.59%18%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLutonMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLutonMansfield Town
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-34-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-22-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricLutonMansfield Town
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h75%25%
Goals62%38%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.04 (league 1.44), Mansfield Town = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 17.5% 12.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1