Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Craik Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.49) 0.83 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 26.8% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 10.2% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorpeth TownWorkington
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack55%55%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morpeth Town Workington
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%0%9%0%17%9%
Draws20%17%18%60%0%27%
Loses60%83%73%40%83%64%

Form: Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDDLLL • Workington: LLLLDLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Morpeth Town Workington
HATHAT
GF total459358
GF avg0.80.80.80.60.80.7
GA total6121851621
GA avg1.22.01.61.02.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorpeth TownWorkington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%55%91%
1.59%55%18%55%
2.59%18%0%18%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorpeth TownWorkington
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricMorpeth TownWorkington
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMorpeth TownWorkington
Wins11
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——1-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-26-0
Goals For1312
Goals Against2426

Model comparison

MetricMorpeth TownWorkington
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Morpeth Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Marathonbet
No2.18 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morpeth Town = 1.45 (league 1.49), Workington = 0.83 (league 1.16)

Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 10.2% 8.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1