Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:30 • Sardar Azadegan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.14) 1.61 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 24.6% 45.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fajr Sepasi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shams Azar Qazvin 0 5.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack75%50%
Defense13%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Fajr Sepasi
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%67%0%33%
Draws100%67%83%0%100%50%
Loses0%33%17%33%0%17%

Form: Shams Azar Qazvin: DDDDDL • Fajr Sepasi: DWDWDL

League goals

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Fajr Sepasi
HATHAT
GF total617325
GF avg2.00.31.21.00.70.8
GA total628224
GA avg2.00.71.30.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%50%
1.517%17%0%17%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
Wins01
Draws51
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses—1-01-2—
Goals For4111
Goals Against4121

Model comparison

MetricShams Azar QazvinFajr Sepasi
Form33%67%
Att60%40%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Shams Azar Qazvin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away2.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shams Azar Qazvin = 1.23 (league 1.14), Fajr Sepasi = 1.61 (league 0.87)

Fajr Sepasi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shams Azar Qazvin 0 5.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 45.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1