Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:15 •
Anexo Gran Canaria
Expected Goals
3.34 (league 1.52)
0.31 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
14.4%
4 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Las Palmas III | 0 | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 88% | 38% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Las Palmas III: LLWLWD • Mensajero: WLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Las Palmas III | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Las Palmas III | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
Advice: Winner : Las Palmas III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas III = 3.34 (league 1.52), Mensajero = 0.31 (league 0.96)
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Las Palmas III | 0 | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.2% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 1.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1