Ligue 1 — Algeria
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.26) 0.87 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 35.3% 36.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
17.7%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
USM Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Setif 0 20.3% 17.7% 7.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SetifUSM Alger
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack44%44%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Setif USM Alger
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%0%14%0%33%17%
Draws67%50%57%100%33%67%
Loses0%50%29%0%33%17%

Form: ES Setif: DDDWLLD • USM Alger: DWDLDD

League goals

Metric ES Setif USM Alger
HATHAT
GF total426224
GF avg1.30.50.90.70.70.7
GA total369224
GA avg1.01.51.30.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SetifUSM Alger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%67%67%
1.514%14%0%0%
2.50%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SetifUSM Alger
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricES SetifUSM Alger
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricES SetifUSM Alger
Wins11
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——0-1
Biggest losses—3-0—1-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricES SetifUSM Alger
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.03 @ Pinnacle
Away3.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Setif = 0.72 (league 1.26), USM Alger = 0.87 (league 0.80)

USM Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Setif 0 20.3% 17.7% 7.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 36.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1