Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Mourão Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.07) 1.98 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 21.6% 56.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paduano 0 4.5% 9.0% 8.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaduanoCampo Grande
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack27%45%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paduano Campo Grande
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%33%17%
Draws0%33%17%100%67%83%
Loses67%33%50%0%0%0%

Form: Paduano: WDLWLL • Campo Grande: DWDDDD

League goals

Metric Paduano Campo Grande
HATHAT
GF total538336
GF avg1.71.01.31.01.01.0
GA total538325
GA avg1.71.01.31.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaduanoCampo Grande
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%83%83%
1.533%50%17%0%
2.517%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaduanoCampo Grande
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricPaduanoCampo Grande
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPaduanoCampo Grande
Wins11
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-1——
Goals For5212
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricPaduanoCampo Grande
Form36%64%
Att38%63%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total41.0%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Campo Grande

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paduano = 1.11 (league 1.07), Campo Grande = 1.98 (league 0.86)

Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paduano 0 4.5% 9.0% 8.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 56.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1