Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 19:00 •
Terrain d'honneur Gérard Houllier
Expected Goals
9.20 (league 1.96)
2.24 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
best score tips
5 - 2
1.5%
5 - 1
1.3%
5 - 3
1.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 75% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 63% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 4.8 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
98%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Lyon W: WWWW • Nantes W: WLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lyon W | Nantes W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-8 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lyon W | Nantes W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 74.2% | 26.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lyon W and +4.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 9.20 (league 1.96), Nantes W = 2.24 (league 1.34)
| Nantes W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 1.0% · Away win 0.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1