Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.27) 1.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 27.8% 40.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Ameliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad Asuncion 0 9.5% 12.0% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack75%75%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%38%25%25%13%19%
Draws38%38%38%25%13%19%
Loses50%25%38%50%75%63%

Form: Libertad Asuncion: LDLWWWDDLDDWLLDL • Sportivo Ameliano: WLLDLLLLDWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Libertad Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
GF total512177916
GF avg0.61.51.10.91.11.0
GA total10616121830
GA avg1.30.81.01.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%69%88%
1.525%19%19%50%
2.519%13%13%31%
3.513%6%0%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
Clean sheets156202
Failed to score538325

Penalties

MetricLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Wins31
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-02-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-44-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricLibertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h62%38%
Goals78%22%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away4.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad Asuncion = 1.09 (league 1.27), Sportivo Ameliano = 1.27 (league 1.13)

Sportivo Ameliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad Asuncion 0 9.5% 12.0% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 40.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1