First NL — Croatia
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion sv. Josip Radnik
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.21) 0.28 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 28.2% 7.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hrvace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 20.1% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 7.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSesveteHrvace
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack43%43%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sesvete Hrvace
HATHAT
Played37106410
Wins33%43%40%50%25%40%
Draws67%43%50%17%0%10%
Loses0%14%10%33%75%50%

Form: Sesvete: DDLWDDWWWD • Hrvace: WLLWLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Sesvete Hrvace
HATHAT
GF total27910414
GF avg0.71.00.91.71.01.4
GA total1458917
GA avg0.30.60.51.32.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSesveteHrvace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%80%90%
1.510%10%40%50%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSesveteHrvace
HATHAT
Clean sheets246101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSesveteHrvace
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSesveteHrvace
Wins31
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses—2-11-34-1
Goals For1232
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricSesveteHrvace
Form61%39%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sesvete or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away6.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sesvete = 1.33 (league 1.21), Hrvace = 0.28 (league 1.08)

Hrvace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sesvete 0 20.1% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 7.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 7.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1