Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:00 • Stade de l'Aube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.41) 0.27 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 23.0% 5.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 15.6% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 6.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstac TroyesBastia
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack100%13%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estac Troyes Bastia
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins100%25%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%22%50%40%44%
Loses0%25%11%50%60%56%

Form: Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWD • Bastia: DLLDLLLDD

League goals

Metric Estac Troyes Bastia
HATHAT
GF total14519404
GF avg2.81.32.11.00.00.4
GA total4597411
GA avg0.81.31.01.80.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstac TroyesBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%33%67%
1.567%33%11%33%
2.544%0%0%22%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstac TroyesBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score022156

Penalties

MetricEstac TroyesBastia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricEstac TroyesBastia
Wins40
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-3——
Biggest losses—2-01-32-0
Goals For5320
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricEstac TroyesBastia
Form87%13%
Att89%11%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Winner : Estac Troyes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away4.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estac Troyes = 1.59 (league 1.41), Bastia = 0.27 (league 1.19)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 15.6% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 6.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 5.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1