Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.47) 1.05 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 29.6% 34.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 11.8% 12.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalUniversitario
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack60%100%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Universitario
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins80%31%55%81%60%71%
Draws13%25%19%13%27%19%
Loses7%44%26%6%13%10%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLW • Universitario: DWWWWDWWWLLLWWWWWDWDWWWDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Universitario
HATHAT
GF total352055422163
GF avg2.31.31.82.61.42.0
GA total112233101121
GA avg0.71.41.10.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalUniversitario
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%58%84%55%
1.555%32%61%13%
2.526%13%35%0%
3.510%3%13%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalUniversitario
HATHAT
Clean sheets85138614
Failed to score156325

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalUniversitario
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalUniversitario
Wins45
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-46-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-12-0
Goals For5463
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalUniversitario
Form35%65%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Universitario

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.88 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 1.09 (league 1.47), Universitario = 1.05 (league 0.94)

Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 11.8% 12.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 34.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1