Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 09:00 • Stadium Uralets
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.51) 1.09 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 24.6% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil 0 6.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack43%36%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil Chelyabinsk II
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins55%33%43%18%33%26%
Draws9%42%26%27%17%22%
Loses36%25%30%55%50%52%

Form: Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil: LWWWDLLWWLWDWDLDLDWDWLW • Chelyabinsk II: DLLLLLLWWLDWLLDWDLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil Chelyabinsk II
HATHAT
GF total14173151318
GF avg1.31.41.30.51.10.8
GA total131427112334
GA avg1.21.21.21.01.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%61%70%
1.539%35%17%39%
2.522%13%0%22%
3.54%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
HATHAT
Clean sheets347437
Failed to score437729

Penalties

MetricUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
Wins32
Draws11
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-36-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricUralets Nizhnyi TagilChelyabinsk II
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet
Away5.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil = 1.63 (league 1.51), Chelyabinsk II = 1.09 (league 1.21)

Chelyabinsk II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil 0 6.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1